Auxiliary function for forecasting
Usage
# S3 method for fitted_dlm
forecast(
object,
t = 1,
plot = ifelse(requireNamespace("plotly", quietly = TRUE), "plotly",
ifelse(requireNamespace("ggplot2", quietly = TRUE), "ggplot2", "base")),
pred.cred = 0.95,
...
)Arguments
- object
fitted_dlm object: The fitted model to be use for predictions.
- t
numeric: Time window for prediction.
- plot
boolean or character: A flag indicating if a plot should be produced. Should be one of FALSE, TRUE, 'base', 'ggplot2' or 'plotly'.
- pred.cred
numeric: The credibility level for the C.I..
- ...
Extra variables necessary for prediction (covariates, etc.).
Value
A list containing:
data data.frame: A data frame contain the mean, variance and credibility intervals for the outcomes, including both the observed data and the predictions for future observations.
forecast data.frame: Same as data, but restricted to predictions for future observations.
outcomes list: A named list containing predictions for each outcome. Each element of this list is a list containing predictions (mean, variance and credibility intervals), the distribution of the linear predictor for the parameter of the observational model and the parameters of the predictive distribution (if available).
theta.mean matrix: A matrix with the values for the latent states at each time. Dimensions are n x t, where n is the number of latent states
theta.cov array: A 3D-array with the covariance of the latent states at each time. Dimensions are n x n x t, where n is the number of latent predictors.
lambda.mean matrix: A matrix with the values for the linear predictors at each time. Dimensions are k x t, where k is the number of linear predictors
lambda.cov array: A 3D-array with the covariance of the linear predictors at each time. Dimensions are k x k x t, where k is the number of linear predictors.
plot (if so chosen): A plotly or ggplot object.
A list containing:
data data.frame: A table with the model evaluated at each observed time, plus the forecasted period.
forecast data.frame: A table with the model evaluated at the forecasted period.
outcomes list: A list containing the parameters of the predictive distribution for each outcome at the forecasted period.
theta.mean matrix: The mean of the latent states at each forecasted time. Dimensions are n x t.forecast, where t.forecast is the size of the forecast windows and n is the number of latent states.
theta.cov array: A 3D-array containing the covariance matrix of the latent states at each forecasted time. Dimensions are n x n x t.forecast, where t.forecast is the size of the forecast windows and n is the number of latent states.
lambda.mean matrix: The mean of the linear predictor at each forecasted time. Dimensions are k x t.forecast, where t.forecast is the size of the forecast windows and k is the number of linear predictors.
lambda.cov array: A 3D-array containing the covariance matrix for the linear predictor at each forecasted time. Dimensions are k x k x t.forecast, where t.forecast is the size of the forecast windows and k is the number of linear predictors.
Details
If an a covariate is necessary for forecasting, it should be passed as a named argument. Its name must follow this structure: <block name>.Covariate<.index>. If there is only one covariate in the associated block the index is omitted. If an a pulse is necessary for forecasting, it should be passed as a named argument. Its name must follow this structure: <block name>.Pulse<.index>. If there is only one pulse in the associated block the index is omitted. The user may pass the observed values at the prediction windows (optional). See example. As an special case, if the model has an Multinomial outcome, the user may pass the N parameter instead of the observations. If an offset is necessary for forecasting, it should be passed with the same syntax as the observed data. See example.
See also
Other auxiliary functions for fitted_dlm objects:
coef.fitted_dlm(),
eval_dlm_norm_const(),
fit_model(),
simulate.fitted_dlm(),
smoothing(),
update.fitted_dlm()
Examples
structure <-
polynomial_block(p = 1, order = 2, D = 0.95) +
harmonic_block(p = 1, period = 12, D = 0.975) +
noise_block(p = 1, R1 = 0.1) +
regression_block(
p = chickenPox$date >= as.Date("2013-09-1"),
# Vaccine was introduced in September of 2013
name = "Vaccine"
)
outcome <- Multinom(p = c("p.1", "p.2"), data = chickenPox[, c(2, 3, 5)])
fitted.data <- fit_model(structure * 2,
chickenPox = outcome
)
forecast(fitted.data, 24,
chickenPox = list(Total = rep(175, 24)), # Optional
Vaccine.1.Covariate = rep(TRUE, 24),
Vaccine.2.Covariate = rep(TRUE, 24)
)
#> Scale for y is already present.
#> Adding another scale for y, which will replace the existing scale.
#> $data
#> Time Serie Observation Prediction Variance C.I.lower
#> 1 1 chickenPox.< 5 year 218 213.56974 1944.8860 127
#> 2 2 chickenPox.< 5 year 215 214.00177 1360.3010 142
#> 3 3 chickenPox.< 5 year 256 250.66942 1675.6397 170
#> 4 4 chickenPox.< 5 year 271 265.06469 1562.4174 186
#> 5 5 chickenPox.< 5 year 348 336.74105 2074.3296 244
#> 6 6 chickenPox.< 5 year 333 322.77968 1687.9260 239
#> 7 7 chickenPox.< 5 year 397 387.58815 2287.1740 290
#> 8 8 chickenPox.< 5 year 459 478.80415 3251.8539 362
#> 9 9 chickenPox.< 5 year 811 775.68707 6277.8685 611
#> 10 10 chickenPox.< 5 year 932 896.40928 8250.1825 708
#> 11 11 chickenPox.< 5 year 730 698.85927 5911.6826 541
#> 12 12 chickenPox.< 5 year 460 455.27873 3354.9501 338
#> 13 13 chickenPox.< 5 year 214 227.74120 1116.6561 162
#> 14 14 chickenPox.< 5 year 133 148.73901 562.4871 102
#> 15 15 chickenPox.< 5 year 162 156.09889 612.3608 108
#> 16 16 chickenPox.< 5 year 227 197.27490 890.1128 139
#> 17 17 chickenPox.< 5 year 231 213.21307 956.3178 152
#> 18 18 chickenPox.< 5 year 179 196.88730 742.3365 143
#> 19 19 chickenPox.< 5 year 256 262.68672 1087.5723 196
#> 20 20 chickenPox.< 5 year 343 333.38235 1469.9184 256
#> 21 21 chickenPox.< 5 year 403 428.46452 2198.4787 333
#> 22 22 chickenPox.< 5 year 544 515.88506 3055.9950 403
#> 23 23 chickenPox.< 5 year 518 483.16453 2858.2936 374
#> 24 24 chickenPox.< 5 year 446 423.31318 2538.7060 322
#> 25 25 chickenPox.< 5 year 248 253.52498 1125.8304 187
#> 26 26 chickenPox.< 5 year 126 134.89325 400.4484 96
#> 27 27 chickenPox.< 5 year 113 143.58286 486.8892 101
#> 28 28 chickenPox.< 5 year 152 140.82415 458.8652 99
#> 29 29 chickenPox.< 5 year 157 154.45380 492.0809 111
#> 30 30 chickenPox.< 5 year 181 177.76916 537.7032 132
#> 31 31 chickenPox.< 5 year 222 226.94000 697.2585 174
#> 32 32 chickenPox.< 5 year 292 284.92774 905.0167 224
#> 33 33 chickenPox.< 5 year 521 489.54092 2337.6367 391
#> 34 34 chickenPox.< 5 year 587 574.53647 3233.9224 458
#> 35 35 chickenPox.< 5 year 495 456.20134 2279.2700 359
#> 36 36 chickenPox.< 5 year 363 322.96270 1376.3427 248
#> 37 37 chickenPox.< 5 year 157 185.38548 580.0217 137
#> 38 38 chickenPox.< 5 year 102 118.02545 292.8830 84
#> 39 39 chickenPox.< 5 year 132 136.74766 413.3607 97
#> 40 40 chickenPox.< 5 year 155 144.03607 454.3267 102
#> 41 41 chickenPox.< 5 year 217 211.17818 864.9089 153
#> 42 42 chickenPox.< 5 year 364 326.42901 1749.6136 244
#> 43 43 chickenPox.< 5 year 333 322.01557 1505.9702 244
#> 44 44 chickenPox.< 5 year 308 318.64367 1374.7130 244
#> 45 45 chickenPox.< 5 year 535 534.19956 3076.1298 421
#> 46 46 chickenPox.< 5 year 705 682.39558 4940.4660 539
#> 47 47 chickenPox.< 5 year 623 569.46819 3723.4364 445
#> 48 48 chickenPox.< 5 year 542 464.81368 2866.8987 357
#> 49 49 chickenPox.< 5 year 295 277.10907 1267.9996 206
#> 50 50 chickenPox.< 5 year 108 124.79874 335.7050 89
#> 51 51 chickenPox.< 5 year 85 108.42661 289.9193 75
#> 52 52 chickenPox.< 5 year 122 124.89530 383.6504 87
#> 53 53 chickenPox.< 5 year 145 159.13240 572.7219 112
#> 54 54 chickenPox.< 5 year 208 187.37599 695.5368 135
#> 55 55 chickenPox.< 5 year 191 201.93811 723.6880 149
#> 56 56 chickenPox.< 5 year 191 195.93937 634.1869 146
#> 57 57 chickenPox.< 5 year 289 291.05078 1297.0990 219
#> 58 58 chickenPox.< 5 year 374 358.52661 1984.8137 269
#> 59 59 chickenPox.< 5 year 305 285.26500 1375.5849 211
#> 60 60 chickenPox.< 5 year 297 262.80329 1306.5271 191
#> 61 61 chickenPox.< 5 year 156 156.70840 559.5527 111
#> 62 62 chickenPox.< 5 year 64 77.28622 171.4541 52
#> 63 63 chickenPox.< 5 year 97 98.03901 277.0873 66
#> 64 64 chickenPox.< 5 year 119 97.65991 275.6222 66
#> 65 65 chickenPox.< 5 year 96 100.83344 289.2801 68
#> 66 66 chickenPox.< 5 year 108 113.75408 343.7215 78
#> 67 67 chickenPox.< 5 year 127 141.24812 484.9784 98
#> 68 68 chickenPox.< 5 year 143 147.09456 500.8693 103
#> 69 69 chickenPox.< 5 year 191 185.07468 764.9394 131
#> 70 70 chickenPox.< 5 year 195 192.06278 849.4044 135
#> 71 71 chickenPox.< 5 year 153 147.21681 545.8692 102
#> 72 72 chickenPox.< 5 year 134 128.46826 453.9837 87
#> 73 73 chickenPox.< 5 year 79 92.58644 268.2073 61
#> 74 74 chickenPox.< 5 year 76 72.12331 178.7961 47
#> 75 75 chickenPox.< 5 year 88 81.13450 224.7404 53
#> 76 76 chickenPox.< 5 year 76 79.53448 215.1652 52
#> 77 77 chickenPox.< 5 year 84 91.31704 265.2800 60
#> 78 78 chickenPox.< 5 year 94 89.40094 241.5017 60
#> 79 79 chickenPox.< 5 year 126 123.78420 421.6119 84
#> 80 80 chickenPox.< 5 year 135 134.14956 487.2676 91
#> 81 81 chickenPox.< 5 year 152 149.08468 607.8418 101
#> 82 82 chickenPox.< 5 year 193 192.93190 1031.5099 131
#> 83 83 chickenPox.< 5 year 151 146.79368 642.2902 98
#> 84 84 chickenPox.< 5 year 146 133.67929 558.6623 89
#> 85 85 chickenPox.< 5 year 105 108.34111 390.2422 71
#> 86 86 chickenPox.< 5 year 72 76.92751 213.2169 49
#> 87 87 chickenPox.< 5 year 90 93.75019 303.3861 61
#> 88 88 chickenPox.< 5 year 77 73.56937 192.1087 47
#> 89 89 chickenPox.< 5 year 90 86.41401 248.4576 56
#> 90 90 chickenPox.< 5 year 87 94.25762 282.1017 62
#> 91 91 chickenPox.< 5 year 110 105.92999 342.7935 71
#> 92 92 chickenPox.< 5 year 134 129.83282 506.9293 87
#> 93 93 chickenPox.< 5 year 132 134.28783 562.2911 89
#> 94 94 chickenPox.< 5 year 151 150.04932 724.3239 99
#> 95 95 chickenPox.< 5 year 138 128.53728 561.1646 84
#> 96 96 chickenPox.< 5 year 104 104.28359 389.3101 67
#> 97 97 chickenPox.< 5 year 67 91.44475 308.2993 58
#> 98 98 chickenPox.< 5 year 58 64.34194 161.5043 40
#> 99 99 chickenPox.< 5 year 94 85.10786 254.1365 55
#> 100 100 chickenPox.< 5 year 79 72.60289 184.3695 47
#> 101 101 chickenPox.< 5 year 93 93.45190 278.0868 62
#> 102 102 chickenPox.< 5 year 84 76.15672 187.1512 50
#> 103 103 chickenPox.< 5 year 96 99.99475 304.1102 67
#> 104 104 chickenPox.< 5 year 82 83.92861 226.5444 55
#> 105 105 chickenPox.< 5 year 80 88.93602 260.4904 58
#> 106 106 chickenPox.< 5 year 92 91.21889 283.4215 59
#> 107 107 chickenPox.< 5 year 77 80.61587 232.7325 52
#> 108 108 chickenPox.< 5 year 79 81.15405 236.0541 52
#> 109 109 chickenPox.< 5 year 73 72.56088 189.9907 47
#> 110 110 chickenPox.< 5 year 54 63.60043 146.3446 41
#> 111 111 chickenPox.< 5 year 133 100.45350 312.1120 67
#> 112 112 chickenPox.< 5 year 162 102.69799 319.2682 69
#> 113 113 chickenPox.< 5 year 102 85.18424 234.5429 56
#> 114 114 chickenPox.< 5 year 70 74.47020 191.4051 48
#> 115 115 chickenPox.< 5 year 79 80.13631 229.4112 52
#> 116 116 chickenPox.< 5 year 59 74.59278 218.5768 47
#> 117 117 chickenPox.< 5 year 49 68.03241 200.5202 42
#> 118 118 chickenPox.< 5 year 63 64.14745 192.6557 38
#> 119 119 chickenPox.< 5 year 63 66.60609 219.2651 39
#> 120 120 chickenPox.< 5 year 48 51.25208 146.9337 29
#> 121 1 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 64 65.10525 1944.8860 16
#> 122 2 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 43 51.61887 1360.3010 14
#> 123 3 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 60 60.18322 1675.6397 17
#> 124 4 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 47 53.97332 1562.4174 14
#> 125 5 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 66 68.13572 2074.3296 20
#> 126 6 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 57 62.57490 1687.9260 18
#> 127 7 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 77 79.22217 2287.1740 25
#> 128 8 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 90 98.54711 3251.8539 33
#> 129 9 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 142 153.46397 6277.8685 56
#> 130 10 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 176 185.42403 8250.1825 71
#> 131 11 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 135 155.14535 5911.6826 60
#> 132 12 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 121 113.83796 3354.9501 43
#> 133 13 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 60 58.84759 1116.6561 21
#> 134 14 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 28 36.59414 562.4871 11
#> 135 15 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 34 36.49385 612.3608 11
#> 136 16 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 38 44.13496 890.1128 14
#> 137 17 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 42 48.44930 956.3178 16
#> 138 18 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 51 47.12567 742.3365 17
#> 139 19 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 65 64.19221 1087.5723 25
#> 140 20 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 75 82.65969 1469.9184 34
#> 141 21 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 123 109.29487 2198.4787 47
#> 142 22 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 136 132.63786 3055.9950 59
#> 143 23 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 105 125.04364 2858.2936 55
#> 144 24 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 121 111.49354 2538.7060 47
#> 145 25 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 60 66.86312 1125.8304 27
#> 146 26 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 30 35.21239 400.4484 13
#> 147 27 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 34 36.58362 486.8892 13
#> 148 28 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 27 34.23784 458.8652 12
#> 149 29 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 46 36.04602 492.0809 12
#> 150 30 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 34 39.53064 537.7032 14
#> 151 31 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 49 49.05784 697.2585 19
#> 152 32 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 50 61.01227 905.0167 25
#> 153 33 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 89 106.76518 2337.6367 46
#> 154 34 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 131 130.38167 3233.9224 57
#> 155 35 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 92 108.02404 2279.2700 47
#> 156 36 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 75 79.68207 1376.3427 34
#> 157 37 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 50 47.03470 580.0217 18
#> 158 38 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 33 29.94973 292.8830 11
#> 159 39 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 26 33.79936 413.3607 12
#> 160 40 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 33 34.43034 454.3267 12
#> 161 41 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 56 48.86265 864.9089 18
#> 162 42 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 69 73.59234 1749.6136 28
#> 163 43 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 69 72.34046 1505.9702 28
#> 164 44 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 64 73.04374 1374.7130 29
#> 165 45 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 140 136.85595 3076.1298 61
#> 166 46 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 169 182.51202 4940.4660 85
#> 167 47 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 126 159.00976 3723.4364 75
#> 168 48 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 110 135.38090 2866.8987 63
#> 169 49 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 83 83.91223 1267.9996 37
#> 170 50 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 40 38.69580 335.7050 16
#> 171 51 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 41 33.70736 289.9193 13
#> 172 52 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 40 37.74028 383.6504 14
#> 173 53 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 58 46.60564 572.7219 18
#> 174 54 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 43 52.55097 695.5368 21
#> 175 55 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 49 56.75260 723.6880 24
#> 176 56 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 55 56.87226 634.1869 24
#> 177 57 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 76 88.31031 1297.0990 40
#> 178 58 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 124 114.92270 1984.8137 54
#> 179 59 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 88 94.34688 1375.5849 44
#> 180 60 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 81 88.06475 1306.5271 40
#> 181 61 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 55 52.33441 559.5527 22
#> 182 62 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 19 25.03371 171.4541 9
#> 183 63 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 33 30.64100 277.0873 11
#> 184 64 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 14 29.39610 275.6222 11
#> 185 65 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 42 31.41593 289.2801 12
#> 186 66 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 36 36.80501 343.7215 14
#> 187 67 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 58 48.67973 484.9784 21
#> 188 68 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 50 53.88109 500.8693 24
#> 189 69 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 65 72.50551 764.9394 34
#> 190 70 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 83 80.00809 849.4044 39
#> 191 71 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 60 63.09100 545.8692 30
#> 192 72 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 39 54.80830 453.9837 25
#> 193 73 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 38 38.80377 268.2073 17
#> 194 74 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 31 28.78902 178.7961 12
#> 195 75 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 30 30.63089 224.7404 12
#> 196 76 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 24 28.98367 215.1652 11
#> 197 77 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 33 33.40507 265.2800 13
#> 198 78 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 25 34.00284 241.5017 14
#> 199 79 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 60 51.68878 421.6119 24
#> 200 80 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 63 62.11380 487.2676 30
#> 201 81 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 84 76.22363 607.8418 39
#> 202 82 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 114 105.40616 1031.5099 56
#> 203 83 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 85 81.51396 642.2902 42
#> 204 84 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 75 71.64863 558.6623 36
#> 205 85 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 47 53.79607 390.2422 26
#> 206 86 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 26 34.77598 213.2169 15
#> 207 87 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 31 39.07334 303.3861 17
#> 208 88 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 37 29.29485 192.1087 12
#> 209 89 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 32 33.99944 248.4576 14
#> 210 90 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 39 38.74052 282.1017 17
#> 211 91 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 40 47.26481 342.7935 22
#> 212 92 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 69 65.06401 506.9293 32
#> 213 93 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 83 74.95966 562.2911 39
#> 214 94 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 102 89.46073 724.3239 47
#> 215 95 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 90 76.88219 561.1646 40
#> 216 96 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 55 58.57883 389.3101 29
#> 217 97 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 42 46.06996 308.2993 21
#> 218 98 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 27 28.03743 161.5043 12
#> 219 99 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 24 32.08222 254.1365 13
#> 220 100 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 24 24.93366 184.3695 9
#> 221 101 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 31 31.00406 278.0868 12
#> 222 102 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 19 25.88849 187.1512 10
#> 223 103 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 41 37.33412 304.1102 16
#> 224 104 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 36 35.00624 226.5444 15
#> 225 105 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 34 41.00469 260.4904 19
#> 226 106 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 36 44.92485 283.4215 21
#> 227 107 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 39 40.37420 232.7325 19
#> 228 108 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 38 38.61414 236.0541 18
#> 229 109 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 34 31.01353 189.9907 13
#> 230 110 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 26 23.62427 146.3446 9
#> 231 111 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 37 32.21271 312.1120 12
#> 232 112 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 27 29.80160 319.2682 11
#> 233 113 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 18 24.50179 234.5429 8
#> 234 114 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 31 23.27139 191.4051 8
#> 235 115 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 20 28.24217 229.4112 11
#> 236 116 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 37 30.98237 218.5768 12
#> 237 117 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 38 32.29704 200.5202 14
#> 238 118 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 27 32.55433 192.6557 14
#> 239 119 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 28 34.16704 219.2651 14
#> 240 120 chickenPox.5 to 9 years 26 25.03990 146.9337 9
#> 241 1 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 124 127.32501 1944.8860 55
#> 242 2 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 151 143.37936 1360.3010 79
#> 243 3 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 144 149.14736 1675.6397 79
#> 244 4 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 139 137.96199 1562.4174 72
#> 245 5 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 130 139.12322 2074.3296 67
#> 246 6 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 113 117.64542 1687.9260 55
#> 247 7 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 122 129.18967 2287.1740 58
#> 248 8 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 181 152.64874 3251.8539 69
#> 249 9 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 153 176.84895 6277.8685 71
#> 250 10 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 174 200.16669 8250.1825 81
#> 251 11 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 181 191.99537 5911.6826 85
#> 252 12 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 162 173.88331 3354.9501 86
#> 253 13 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 138 125.41121 1116.6561 69
#> 254 14 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 129 104.66685 562.4871 62
#> 255 15 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 112 115.40725 612.3608 71
#> 256 16 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 115 138.59013 890.1128 85
#> 257 17 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 124 135.33763 956.3178 81
#> 258 18 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 119 104.98703 742.3365 59
#> 259 19 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 114 108.12107 1087.5723 56
#> 260 20 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 105 106.95796 1469.9184 51
#> 261 21 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 129 117.24061 2198.4787 53
#> 262 22 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 103 134.47708 3055.9950 60
#> 263 23 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 126 140.79184 2858.2936 66
#> 264 24 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 123 155.19328 2538.7060 79
#> 265 25 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 137 124.61191 1125.8304 70
#> 266 26 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 100 85.89436 400.4484 51
#> 267 27 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 140 106.83352 486.8892 67
#> 268 28 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 101 104.93802 458.8652 66
#> 269 29 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 89 101.50018 492.0809 62
#> 270 30 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 96 93.70020 537.7032 54
#> 271 31 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 97 92.00216 697.2585 50
#> 272 32 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 95 91.05999 905.0167 46
#> 273 33 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 121 134.69390 2337.6367 66
#> 274 34 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 142 155.08186 3233.9224 75
#> 275 35 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 115 137.77462 2279.2700 69
#> 276 36 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 86 121.35523 1376.3427 64
#> 277 37 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 117 91.57981 580.0217 52
#> 278 38 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 87 74.02482 292.8830 44
#> 279 39 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 112 99.45298 413.3607 63
#> 280 40 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 98 107.53359 454.3267 69
#> 281 41 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 131 143.95917 864.9089 91
#> 282 42 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 153 185.97865 1749.6136 114
#> 283 43 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 141 148.64396 1505.9702 85
#> 284 44 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 142 122.31258 1374.7130 65
#> 285 45 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 124 127.94449 3076.1298 55
#> 286 46 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 154 163.09239 4940.4660 71
#> 287 47 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 132 152.52205 3723.4364 70
#> 288 48 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 102 153.80542 2866.8987 76
#> 289 49 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 104 120.97870 1267.9996 65
#> 290 50 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 87 71.50546 335.7050 41
#> 291 51 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 91 74.86603 289.9193 45
#> 292 52 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 92 91.36442 383.6504 56
#> 293 53 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 113 110.26196 572.7219 68
#> 294 54 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 101 112.07304 695.5368 67
#> 295 55 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 121 102.30928 723.6880 58
#> 296 56 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 91 84.18837 634.1869 45
#> 297 57 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 127 112.63890 1297.0990 58
#> 298 58 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 112 136.55069 1984.8137 70
#> 299 59 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 107 120.38812 1375.5849 63
#> 300 60 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 107 134.13196 1306.5271 75
#> 301 61 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 100 101.95719 559.5527 61
#> 302 62 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 82 62.68007 171.4541 39
#> 303 63 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 89 90.31999 277.0873 59
#> 304 64 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 87 92.94399 275.6222 61
#> 305 65 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 86 91.75063 289.2801 60
#> 306 66 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 99 92.44091 343.7215 58
#> 307 67 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 104 99.07215 484.9784 60
#> 308 68 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 98 90.02436 500.8693 52
#> 309 69 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 106 104.41981 764.9394 59
#> 310 70 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 103 108.92913 849.4044 61
#> 311 71 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 89 91.69218 545.8692 52
#> 312 72 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 104 93.72344 453.9837 56
#> 313 73 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 95 80.60979 268.2073 50
#> 314 74 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 66 72.08767 178.7961 47
#> 315 75 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 82 88.23461 224.7404 59
#> 316 76 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 96 87.48185 215.1652 59
#> 317 77 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 101 93.27789 265.2800 62
#> 318 78 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 84 79.59622 241.5017 51
#> 319 79 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 84 94.52702 421.6119 58
#> 320 80 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 89 90.73664 487.2676 53
#> 321 81 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 84 94.69169 607.8418 54
#> 322 82 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 116 124.66194 1031.5099 71
#> 323 83 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 96 103.69236 642.2902 60
#> 324 84 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 93 108.67209 558.6623 66
#> 325 85 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 114 103.86283 390.2422 67
#> 326 86 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 98 84.29651 213.2169 56
#> 327 87 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 122 110.17647 303.3861 76
#> 328 88 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 75 86.13579 192.1087 59
#> 329 89 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 94 95.58656 248.4576 65
#> 330 90 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 102 95.00187 282.1017 63
#> 331 91 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 99 95.80520 342.7935 61
#> 332 92 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 100 108.10318 506.9293 67
#> 333 93 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 103 108.75251 562.2911 66
#> 334 94 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 112 125.48996 724.3239 77
#> 335 95 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 95 117.58053 561.1646 74
#> 336 96 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 113 109.13757 389.3101 71
#> 337 97 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 138 109.48530 308.2993 75
#> 338 98 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 91 83.62062 161.5043 58
#> 339 99 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 113 113.80991 254.1365 82
#> 340 100 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 90 95.46345 184.3695 68
#> 341 101 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 117 116.54404 278.0868 83
#> 342 102 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 87 87.95480 187.1512 61
#> 343 103 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 108 107.67112 304.1102 74
#> 344 104 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 87 86.06515 226.5444 57
#> 345 105 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 106 90.05929 260.4904 59
#> 346 106 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 102 93.85626 283.4215 62
#> 347 107 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 92 87.00994 232.7325 58
#> 348 108 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 96 93.23181 236.0541 63
#> 349 109 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 85 88.42559 189.9907 61
#> 350 110 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 88 80.77530 146.3446 57
#> 351 111 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 90 127.33379 312.1120 92
#> 352 112 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 73 129.50041 319.2682 94
#> 353 113 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 99 109.31397 234.5429 79
#> 354 114 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 94 97.25841 191.4051 69
#> 355 115 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 116 106.62152 229.4112 76
#> 356 116 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 112 102.42485 218.5768 72
#> 357 117 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 111 97.67055 200.5202 69
#> 358 118 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 104 97.29822 192.6557 68
#> 359 119 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 119 109.22687 219.2651 78
#> 360 120 chickenPox.15 to 49 years 94 91.70802 146.9337 66
#> 361 121 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 49.63073 149.4347 27
#> 362 122 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 48.42213 149.4347 26
#> 363 123 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 47.78840 149.4347 25
#> 364 124 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 47.79864 149.4347 25
#> 365 125 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 48.32058 149.4347 24
#> 366 126 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 49.00718 149.4347 24
#> 367 127 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 49.40287 149.4347 24
#> 368 128 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 49.14310 149.4347 23
#> 369 129 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 48.13517 149.4347 21
#> 370 130 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 46.56745 149.4347 19
#> 371 131 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 44.74058 149.4347 17
#> 372 132 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 42.90972 149.4347 16
#> 373 133 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 41.27574 149.4347 15
#> 374 134 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 40.03981 149.4347 13
#> 375 135 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 39.38220 149.4347 13
#> 376 136 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 39.37087 149.4347 12
#> 377 137 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 39.88988 149.4347 12
#> 378 138 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 40.63895 149.4347 12
#> 379 139 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 41.21720 149.4347 11
#> 380 140 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 41.27810 149.4347 10
#> 381 141 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 40.67993 149.4347 9
#> 382 142 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 39.51596 149.4347 8
#> 383 143 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 38.00802 149.4347 7
#> 384 144 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 36.39376 149.4347 6
#> 385 121 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 21.84474 149.4347 7
#> 386 122 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 18.81722 149.4347 5
#> 387 123 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 16.63545 149.4347 4
#> 388 124 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 15.57295 149.4347 3
#> 389 125 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 15.65854 149.4347 3
#> 390 126 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 16.81260 149.4347 3
#> 391 127 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 18.83476 149.4347 4
#> 392 128 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 21.28412 149.4347 5
#> 393 129 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 23.42408 149.4347 5
#> 394 130 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 24.43135 149.4347 5
#> 395 131 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 23.83661 149.4347 5
#> 396 132 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 21.84320 149.4347 4
#> 397 133 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 19.20289 149.4347 3
#> 398 134 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 16.75421 149.4347 2
#> 399 135 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 15.04688 149.4347 1
#> 400 136 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 14.29210 149.4347 1
#> 401 137 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 14.50365 149.4347 1
#> 402 138 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 15.60631 149.4347 1
#> 403 139 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 17.42073 149.4347 1
#> 404 140 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 19.56488 149.4347 1
#> 405 141 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 21.41461 149.4347 1
#> 406 142 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 22.28607 149.4347 1
#> 407 143 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 21.80527 149.4347 1
#> 408 144 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 20.16313 149.4347 1
#> 409 121 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 96.52452 149.4347 70
#> 410 122 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 100.76065 149.4347 74
#> 411 123 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 103.57615 149.4347 76
#> 412 124 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 104.62841 149.4347 77
#> 413 125 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 104.02089 149.4347 75
#> 414 126 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 102.18022 149.4347 72
#> 415 127 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 99.76237 149.4347 69
#> 416 128 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 97.57278 149.4347 65
#> 417 129 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 96.44075 149.4347 63
#> 418 130 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 97.00120 149.4347 62
#> 419 131 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 99.42281 149.4347 64
#> 420 132 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 103.24708 149.4347 67
#> 421 133 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 107.52137 149.4347 71
#> 422 134 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 111.20599 149.4347 75
#> 423 135 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 113.57093 149.4347 76
#> 424 136 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 114.33703 149.4347 76
#> 425 137 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 113.60648 149.4347 74
#> 426 138 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 111.75474 149.4347 71
#> 427 139 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 109.36207 149.4347 66
#> 428 140 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 107.15702 149.4347 62
#> 429 141 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 105.90546 149.4347 60
#> 430 142 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 106.19797 149.4347 59
#> 431 143 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 108.18671 149.4347 60
#> 432 144 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 111.44311 149.4347 63
#> C.I.upper type
#> 1 298 Fit
#> 2 285 Fit
#> 3 329 Fit
#> 4 340 Fit
#> 5 422 Fit
#> 6 399 Fit
#> 7 476 Fit
#> 8 584 Fit
#> 9 920 Fit
#> 10 1062 Fit
#> 11 840 Fit
#> 12 564 Fit
#> 13 292 Fit
#> 14 195 Fit
#> 15 204 Fit
#> 16 255 Fit
#> 17 273 Fit
#> 18 249 Fit
#> 19 325 Fit
#> 20 405 Fit
#> 21 516 Fit
#> 22 618 Fit
#> 23 583 Fit
#> 24 518 Fit
#> 25 318 Fit
#> 26 174 Fit
#> 27 187 Fit
#> 28 183 Fit
#> 29 197 Fit
#> 30 222 Fit
#> 31 277 Fit
#> 32 341 Fit
#> 33 579 Fit
#> 34 680 Fit
#> 35 545 Fit
#> 36 393 Fit
#> 37 231 Fit
#> 38 151 Fit
#> 39 176 Fit
#> 40 186 Fit
#> 41 268 Fit
#> 42 407 Fit
#> 43 396 Fit
#> 44 388 Fit
#> 45 637 Fit
#> 46 813 Fit
#> 47 683 Fit
#> 48 566 Fit
#> 49 345 Fit
#> 50 160 Fit
#> 51 142 Fit
#> 52 163 Fit
#> 53 206 Fit
#> 54 238 Fit
#> 55 254 Fit
#> 56 244 Fit
#> 57 359 Fit
#> 58 443 Fit
#> 59 356 Fit
#> 60 332 Fit
#> 61 203 Fit
#> 62 103 Fit
#> 63 131 Fit
#> 64 131 Fit
#> 65 134 Fit
#> 66 150 Fit
#> 67 184 Fit
#> 68 191 Fit
#> 69 239 Fit
#> 70 249 Fit
#> 71 193 Fit
#> 72 170 Fit
#> 73 125 Fit
#> 74 99 Fit
#> 75 111 Fit
#> 76 109 Fit
#> 77 124 Fit
#> 78 120 Fit
#> 79 164 Fit
#> 80 178 Fit
#> 81 198 Fit
#> 82 256 Fit
#> 83 197 Fit
#> 84 181 Fit
#> 85 148 Fit
#> 86 106 Fit
#> 87 129 Fit
#> 88 101 Fit
#> 89 118 Fit
#> 90 128 Fit
#> 91 143 Fit
#> 92 175 Fit
#> 93 182 Fit
#> 94 204 Fit
#> 95 176 Fit
#> 96 144 Fit
#> 97 127 Fit
#> 98 90 Fit
#> 99 117 Fit
#> 100 100 Fit
#> 101 127 Fit
#> 102 104 Fit
#> 103 135 Fit
#> 104 114 Fit
#> 105 121 Fit
#> 106 125 Fit
#> 107 111 Fit
#> 108 112 Fit
#> 109 100 Fit
#> 110 88 Fit
#> 111 136 Fit
#> 112 139 Fit
#> 113 116 Fit
#> 114 102 Fit
#> 115 111 Fit
#> 116 105 Fit
#> 117 97 Fit
#> 118 93 Fit
#> 119 97 Fit
#> 120 76 Fit
#> 121 140 Fit
#> 122 108 Fit
#> 123 124 Fit
#> 124 114 Fit
#> 125 139 Fit
#> 126 127 Fit
#> 127 156 Fit
#> 128 191 Fit
#> 129 288 Fit
#> 130 341 Fit
#> 131 284 Fit
#> 132 209 Fit
#> 133 112 Fit
#> 134 72 Fit
#> 135 73 Fit
#> 136 88 Fit
#> 137 94 Fit
#> 138 89 Fit
#> 139 117 Fit
#> 140 147 Fit
#> 141 190 Fit
#> 142 228 Fit
#> 143 216 Fit
#> 144 195 Fit
#> 145 120 Fit
#> 146 66 Fit
#> 147 70 Fit
#> 148 66 Fit
#> 149 69 Fit
#> 150 74 Fit
#> 151 90 Fit
#> 152 109 Fit
#> 153 187 Fit
#> 154 225 Fit
#> 155 187 Fit
#> 156 140 Fit
#> 157 85 Fit
#> 158 56 Fit
#> 159 64 Fit
#> 160 66 Fit
#> 161 92 Fit
#> 162 136 Fit
#> 163 132 Fit
#> 164 132 Fit
#> 165 234 Fit
#> 166 306 Fit
#> 167 265 Fit
#> 168 227 Fit
#> 169 143 Fit
#> 170 68 Fit
#> 171 61 Fit
#> 172 68 Fit
#> 173 84 Fit
#> 174 94 Fit
#> 175 100 Fit
#> 176 99 Fit
#> 177 149 Fit
#> 178 191 Fit
#> 179 158 Fit
#> 180 149 Fit
#> 181 91 Fit
#> 182 46 Fit
#> 183 56 Fit
#> 184 55 Fit
#> 185 58 Fit
#> 186 66 Fit
#> 187 85 Fit
#> 188 92 Fit
#> 189 120 Fit
#> 190 131 Fit
#> 191 104 Fit
#> 192 91 Fit
#> 193 66 Fit
#> 194 51 Fit
#> 195 55 Fit
#> 196 52 Fit
#> 197 59 Fit
#> 198 59 Fit
#> 199 87 Fit
#> 200 101 Fit
#> 201 121 Fit
#> 202 164 Fit
#> 203 128 Fit
#> 204 114 Fit
#> 205 88 Fit
#> 206 59 Fit
#> 207 68 Fit
#> 208 52 Fit
#> 209 60 Fit
#> 210 67 Fit
#> 211 79 Fit
#> 212 105 Fit
#> 213 118 Fit
#> 214 139 Fit
#> 215 120 Fit
#> 216 94 Fit
#> 217 77 Fit
#> 218 49 Fit
#> 219 57 Fit
#> 220 46 Fit
#> 221 56 Fit
#> 222 47 Fit
#> 223 65 Fit
#> 224 60 Fit
#> 225 69 Fit
#> 226 74 Fit
#> 227 67 Fit
#> 228 65 Fit
#> 229 54 Fit
#> 230 43 Fit
#> 231 59 Fit
#> 232 56 Fit
#> 233 47 Fit
#> 234 44 Fit
#> 235 52 Fit
#> 236 55 Fit
#> 237 56 Fit
#> 238 57 Fit
#> 239 60 Fit
#> 240 46 Fit
#> 241 213 Fit
#> 242 216 Fit
#> 243 229 Fit
#> 244 215 Fit
#> 245 226 Fit
#> 246 195 Fit
#> 247 218 Fit
#> 248 258 Fit
#> 249 317 Fit
#> 250 359 Fit
#> 251 330 Fit
#> 252 281 Fit
#> 253 190 Fit
#> 254 151 Fit
#> 255 164 Fit
#> 256 197 Fit
#> 257 195 Fit
#> 258 157 Fit
#> 259 170 Fit
#> 260 176 Fit
#> 261 199 Fit
#> 262 230 Fit
#> 263 235 Fit
#> 264 247 Fit
#> 265 188 Fit
#> 266 125 Fit
#> 267 150 Fit
#> 268 147 Fit
#> 269 145 Fit
#> 270 138 Fit
#> 271 141 Fit
#> 272 146 Fit
#> 273 221 Fit
#> 274 255 Fit
#> 275 223 Fit
#> 276 189 Fit
#> 277 137 Fit
#> 278 107 Fit
#> 279 139 Fit
#> 280 149 Fit
#> 281 201 Fit
#> 282 266 Fit
#> 283 222 Fit
#> 284 191 Fit
#> 285 223 Fit
#> 286 282 Fit
#> 287 258 Fit
#> 288 249 Fit
#> 289 187 Fit
#> 290 106 Fit
#> 291 108 Fit
#> 292 130 Fit
#> 293 157 Fit
#> 294 163 Fit
#> 295 153 Fit
#> 296 131 Fit
#> 297 178 Fit
#> 298 217 Fit
#> 299 188 Fit
#> 300 202 Fit
#> 301 147 Fit
#> 302 88 Fit
#> 303 123 Fit
#> 304 126 Fit
#> 305 125 Fit
#> 306 129 Fit
#> 307 142 Fit
#> 308 133 Fit
#> 309 156 Fit
#> 310 164 Fit
#> 311 136 Fit
#> 312 135 Fit
#> 313 113 Fit
#> 314 99 Fit
#> 315 118 Fit
#> 316 117 Fit
#> 317 126 Fit
#> 318 110 Fit
#> 319 135 Fit
#> 320 133 Fit
#> 321 141 Fit
#> 322 186 Fit
#> 323 152 Fit
#> 324 155 Fit
#> 325 143 Fit
#> 326 114 Fit
#> 327 145 Fit
#> 328 114 Fit
#> 329 127 Fit
#> 330 129 Fit
#> 331 132 Fit
#> 332 152 Fit
#> 333 155 Fit
#> 334 178 Fit
#> 335 165 Fit
#> 336 149 Fit
#> 337 145 Fit
#> 338 110 Fit
#> 339 146 Fit
#> 340 123 Fit
#> 341 150 Fit
#> 342 115 Fit
#> 343 143 Fit
#> 344 116 Fit
#> 345 122 Fit
#> 346 128 Fit
#> 347 118 Fit
#> 348 124 Fit
#> 349 116 Fit
#> 350 105 Fit
#> 351 163 Fit
#> 352 165 Fit
#> 353 140 Fit
#> 354 125 Fit
#> 355 137 Fit
#> 356 133 Fit
#> 357 127 Fit
#> 358 126 Fit
#> 359 140 Fit
#> 360 117 Fit
#> 361 75 Forecast
#> 362 74 Forecast
#> 363 74 Forecast
#> 364 75 Forecast
#> 365 76 Forecast
#> 366 78 Forecast
#> 367 80 Forecast
#> 368 80 Forecast
#> 369 81 Forecast
#> 370 80 Forecast
#> 371 79 Forecast
#> 372 77 Forecast
#> 373 76 Forecast
#> 374 75 Forecast
#> 375 75 Forecast
#> 376 75 Forecast
#> 377 77 Forecast
#> 378 80 Forecast
#> 379 82 Forecast
#> 380 84 Forecast
#> 381 85 Forecast
#> 382 85 Forecast
#> 383 84 Forecast
#> 384 82 Forecast
#> 385 42 Forecast
#> 386 38 Forecast
#> 387 36 Forecast
#> 388 35 Forecast
#> 389 36 Forecast
#> 390 38 Forecast
#> 391 42 Forecast
#> 392 46 Forecast
#> 393 50 Forecast
#> 394 53 Forecast
#> 395 53 Forecast
#> 396 50 Forecast
#> 397 47 Forecast
#> 398 44 Forecast
#> 399 42 Forecast
#> 400 41 Forecast
#> 401 43 Forecast
#> 402 46 Forecast
#> 403 50 Forecast
#> 404 55 Forecast
#> 405 59 Forecast
#> 406 62 Forecast
#> 407 62 Forecast
#> 408 60 Forecast
#> 409 122 Forecast
#> 410 126 Forecast
#> 411 129 Forecast
#> 412 131 Forecast
#> 413 131 Forecast
#> 414 130 Forecast
#> 415 129 Forecast
#> 416 128 Forecast
#> 417 128 Forecast
#> 418 129 Forecast
#> 419 132 Forecast
#> 420 136 Forecast
#> 421 140 Forecast
#> 422 143 Forecast
#> 423 145 Forecast
#> 424 146 Forecast
#> 425 147 Forecast
#> 426 146 Forecast
#> 427 146 Forecast
#> 428 145 Forecast
#> 429 146 Forecast
#> 430 147 Forecast
#> 431 149 Forecast
#> 432 151 Forecast
#>
#> $forecast
#> Time Serie Observation Variance Prediction C.I.lower
#> 1 121 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 49.63073 27
#> 2 122 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 48.42213 26
#> 3 123 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 47.78840 25
#> 4 124 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 47.79864 25
#> 5 125 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 48.32058 24
#> 6 126 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 49.00718 24
#> 7 127 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 49.40287 24
#> 8 128 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 49.14310 23
#> 9 129 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 48.13517 21
#> 10 130 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 46.56745 19
#> 11 131 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 44.74058 17
#> 12 132 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 42.90972 16
#> 13 133 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 41.27574 15
#> 14 134 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 40.03981 13
#> 15 135 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 39.38220 13
#> 16 136 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 39.37087 12
#> 17 137 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 39.88988 12
#> 18 138 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 40.63895 12
#> 19 139 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 41.21720 11
#> 20 140 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 41.27810 10
#> 21 141 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 40.67993 9
#> 22 142 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 39.51596 8
#> 23 143 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 38.00802 7
#> 24 144 chickenPox.< 5 year NA 149.4347 36.39376 6
#> 25 121 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 21.84474 7
#> 26 122 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 18.81722 5
#> 27 123 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 16.63545 4
#> 28 124 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 15.57295 3
#> 29 125 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 15.65854 3
#> 30 126 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 16.81260 3
#> 31 127 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 18.83476 4
#> 32 128 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 21.28412 5
#> 33 129 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 23.42408 5
#> 34 130 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 24.43135 5
#> 35 131 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 23.83661 5
#> 36 132 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 21.84320 4
#> 37 133 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 19.20289 3
#> 38 134 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 16.75421 2
#> 39 135 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 15.04688 1
#> 40 136 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 14.29210 1
#> 41 137 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 14.50365 1
#> 42 138 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 15.60631 1
#> 43 139 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 17.42073 1
#> 44 140 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 19.56488 1
#> 45 141 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 21.41461 1
#> 46 142 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 22.28607 1
#> 47 143 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 21.80527 1
#> 48 144 chickenPox.5 to 9 years NA 149.4347 20.16313 1
#> 49 121 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 96.52452 70
#> 50 122 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 100.76065 74
#> 51 123 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 103.57615 76
#> 52 124 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 104.62841 77
#> 53 125 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 104.02089 75
#> 54 126 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 102.18022 72
#> 55 127 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 99.76237 69
#> 56 128 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 97.57278 65
#> 57 129 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 96.44075 63
#> 58 130 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 97.00120 62
#> 59 131 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 99.42281 64
#> 60 132 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 103.24708 67
#> 61 133 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 107.52137 71
#> 62 134 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 111.20599 75
#> 63 135 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 113.57093 76
#> 64 136 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 114.33703 76
#> 65 137 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 113.60648 74
#> 66 138 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 111.75474 71
#> 67 139 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 109.36207 66
#> 68 140 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 107.15702 62
#> 69 141 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 105.90546 60
#> 70 142 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 106.19797 59
#> 71 143 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 108.18671 60
#> 72 144 chickenPox.15 to 49 years NA 149.4347 111.44311 63
#> C.I.upper
#> 1 75
#> 2 74
#> 3 74
#> 4 75
#> 5 76
#> 6 78
#> 7 80
#> 8 80
#> 9 81
#> 10 80
#> 11 79
#> 12 77
#> 13 76
#> 14 75
#> 15 75
#> 16 75
#> 17 77
#> 18 80
#> 19 82
#> 20 84
#> 21 85
#> 22 85
#> 23 84
#> 24 82
#> 25 42
#> 26 38
#> 27 36
#> 28 35
#> 29 36
#> 30 38
#> 31 42
#> 32 46
#> 33 50
#> 34 53
#> 35 53
#> 36 50
#> 37 47
#> 38 44
#> 39 42
#> 40 41
#> 41 43
#> 42 46
#> 43 50
#> 44 55
#> 45 59
#> 46 62
#> 47 62
#> 48 60
#> 49 122
#> 50 126
#> 51 129
#> 52 131
#> 53 131
#> 54 130
#> 55 129
#> 56 128
#> 57 128
#> 58 129
#> 59 132
#> 60 136
#> 61 140
#> 62 143
#> 63 145
#> 64 146
#> 65 147
#> 66 146
#> 67 146
#> 68 145
#> 69 146
#> 70 147
#> 71 149
#> 72 151
#>
#> $outcomes
#> $outcomes$chickenPox
#> $outcomes$chickenPox$conj.param
#> alpha_1 alpha_2 alpha_3
#> 121 14.776264 6.503706 28.737675
#> 122 13.732912 5.336718 28.576545
#> 123 12.827580 4.465362 27.802380
#> 124 12.015628 3.914730 26.301504
#> 125 11.245151 3.644050 24.207711
#> 126 10.459954 3.588434 21.809055
#> 127 9.622953 3.668735 19.432245
#> 128 8.745467 3.787705 17.363973
#> 129 7.886815 3.837972 15.801552
#> 130 7.117000 3.733894 14.824896
#> 131 6.478673 3.451667 14.396949
#> 132 5.975437 3.041797 14.377776
#> 133 5.580470 2.596226 14.536864
#> 134 5.254112 2.198524 14.592696
#> 135 4.962072 1.895874 14.309693
#> 136 4.683021 1.699992 13.599970
#> 137 4.403397 1.601041 12.540888
#> 138 4.111537 1.578927 11.306488
#> 139 3.801517 1.606737 10.086608
#> 140 3.482312 1.650537 9.040004
#> 141 3.178261 1.673091 8.274233
#> 142 2.916131 1.644629 7.837015
#> 143 2.710720 1.555145 7.715842
#> 144 2.559856 1.418230 7.838660
#>
#> $outcomes$chickenPox$ft
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5] [,6]
#> [1,] -0.6819068 -0.7520426 -0.7949168 -0.8064766 -0.7910596 -0.7602321
#> [2,] -1.5471819 -1.7569829 -1.9268112 -2.0188749 -2.0162187 -1.9272676
#> [,7] [,8] [,9] [,10] [,11] [,12] [,13]
#> [1,] -0.7296896 -0.7150511 -0.7276742 -0.7716119 -0.8425262 -0.928851 -1.014891
#> [2,] -1.7835693 -1.6313410 -1.5190853 -1.4845943 -1.5448231 -1.691347 -1.892618
#> [,14] [,15] [,16] [,17] [,18] [,19] [,20]
#> [1,] -1.085027 -1.127901 -1.139461 -1.124044 -1.093216 -1.062674 -1.048035
#> [2,] -2.102419 -2.272247 -2.364311 -2.361654 -2.272703 -2.129005 -1.976777
#> [,21] [,22] [,23] [,24]
#> [1,] -1.060658 -1.104596 -1.175510 -1.261835
#> [2,] -1.864521 -1.830030 -1.890259 -2.036783
#>
#> $outcomes$chickenPox$Qt
#> , , 1
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.126574059 0.002780609
#> [2,] 0.002780609 0.131677338
#>
#> , , 2
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.140113999 0.003076489
#> [2,] 0.003076489 0.147655162
#>
#> , , 3
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.154158661 0.003318991
#> [2,] 0.003318991 0.164206083
#>
#> , , 4
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.1677064 0.0034983
#> [2,] 0.0034983 0.1800504
#>
#> , , 5
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.180224168 0.003625945
#> [2,] 0.003625945 0.194479798
#>
#> , , 6
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.19177331 0.00373013
#> [2,] 0.00373013 0.20756617
#>
#> , , 7
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.202936715 0.003848195
#> [2,] 0.003848195 0.220082065
#>
#> , , 8
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.214673490 0.004018534
#> [2,] 0.004018534 0.233273283
#>
#> , , 9
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.228174208 0.004272023
#> [2,] 0.004272023 0.248616919
#>
#> , , 10
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.244673580 0.004622896
#> [2,] 0.004622896 0.267573558
#>
#> , , 11
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.265150698 0.005061447
#> [2,] 0.005061447 0.291265577
#>
#> , , 12
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.289959108 0.005553042
#> [2,] 0.005553042 0.320090109
#>
#> , , 13
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.318573350 0.006046547
#> [2,] 0.006046547 0.353433294
#>
#> , , 14
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.349654318 0.006490469
#> [2,] 0.006490469 0.389713270
#>
#> , , 15
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.381472833 0.006850211
#> [2,] 0.006850211 0.426840044
#>
#> , , 16
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.412508942 0.007119014
#> [2,] 0.007119014 0.462927711
#>
#> , , 17
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.4419450 0.0073189
#> [2,] 0.0073189 0.4969327
#>
#> , , 18
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.469868017 0.007493187
#> [2,] 0.007493187 0.528952268
#>
#> , , 19
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.497189435 0.007694902
#> [2,] 0.007694902 0.560138432
#>
#> , , 20
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.525412243 0.007974499
#> [2,] 0.007974499 0.592368608
#>
#> , , 21
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.556340237 0.008368047
#> [2,] 0.008368047 0.627834567
#>
#> , , 22
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.591726449 0.008886725
#> [2,] 0.008886725 0.668603095
#>
#> , , 23
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.632834496 0.009510335
#> [2,] 0.009510335 0.716131861
#>
#> , , 24
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.67999242 0.01018913
#> [2,] 0.01018913 0.77079255
#>
#>
#> $outcomes$chickenPox$data
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 48 26 94
#> [2,] 48 26 94
#> [3,] 48 26 94
#> [4,] 48 26 94
#> [5,] 48 26 94
#> [6,] 48 26 94
#> [7,] 48 26 94
#> [8,] 48 26 94
#> [9,] 48 26 94
#> [10,] 48 26 94
#> [11,] 48 26 94
#> [12,] 48 26 94
#> [13,] 48 26 94
#> [14,] 48 26 94
#> [15,] 48 26 94
#> [16,] 48 26 94
#> [17,] 48 26 94
#> [18,] 48 26 94
#> [19,] 48 26 94
#> [20,] 48 26 94
#> [21,] 48 26 94
#> [22,] 48 26 94
#> [23,] 48 26 94
#> [24,] 48 26 94
#>
#> $outcomes$chickenPox$offset
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 1 1 1
#> [2,] 1 1 1
#> [3,] 1 1 1
#> [4,] 1 1 1
#> [5,] 1 1 1
#> [6,] 1 1 1
#> [7,] 1 1 1
#> [8,] 1 1 1
#> [9,] 1 1 1
#> [10,] 1 1 1
#> [11,] 1 1 1
#> [12,] 1 1 1
#> [13,] 1 1 1
#> [14,] 1 1 1
#> [15,] 1 1 1
#> [16,] 1 1 1
#> [17,] 1 1 1
#> [18,] 1 1 1
#> [19,] 1 1 1
#> [20,] 1 1 1
#> [21,] 1 1 1
#> [22,] 1 1 1
#> [23,] 1 1 1
#> [24,] 1 1 1
#>
#> $outcomes$chickenPox$pred
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5] [,6] [,7]
#> [1,] 49.63073 48.42213 47.78840 47.79864 48.32058 49.00718 49.40287
#> [2,] 21.84474 18.81722 16.63545 15.57295 15.65854 16.81260 18.83476
#> [3,] 96.52452 100.76065 103.57615 104.62841 104.02089 102.18022 99.76237
#> [,8] [,9] [,10] [,11] [,12] [,13] [,14]
#> [1,] 49.14310 48.13517 46.56745 44.74058 42.90972 41.27574 40.03981
#> [2,] 21.28412 23.42408 24.43135 23.83661 21.84320 19.20289 16.75421
#> [3,] 97.57278 96.44075 97.00120 99.42281 103.24708 107.52137 111.20599
#> [,15] [,16] [,17] [,18] [,19] [,20] [,21]
#> [1,] 39.38220 39.37087 39.88988 40.63895 41.21720 41.27810 40.67993
#> [2,] 15.04688 14.29210 14.50365 15.60631 17.42073 19.56488 21.41461
#> [3,] 113.57093 114.33703 113.60648 111.75474 109.36207 107.15702 105.90546
#> [,22] [,23] [,24]
#> [1,] 39.51596 38.00802 36.39376
#> [2,] 22.28607 21.80527 20.16313
#> [3,] 106.19797 108.18671 111.44311
#>
#> $outcomes$chickenPox$var.pred
#> , , 1
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 149.4347 -27.57780 -121.85695
#> [2,] -27.5778 81.21259 -53.63479
#> [3,] -121.8569 -53.63479 175.49174
#>
#> , , 2
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 152.7842 -24.04270 -128.74151
#> [2,] -24.0427 74.07267 -50.02997
#> [3,] -128.7415 -50.02997 178.77149
#>
#> , , 3
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 158.07990 -21.87584 -136.2041
#> [2,] -21.87584 69.28934 -47.4135
#> [3,] -136.20406 -47.41350 183.6176
#>
#> , , 4
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 166.30688 -21.54625 -144.76063
#> [2,] -21.54625 68.70973 -47.16348
#> [3,] -144.76063 -47.16348 191.92411
#>
#> , , 5
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 177.78905 -23.26144 -154.52761
#> [2,] -23.26144 73.33692 -50.07548
#> [3,] -154.52761 -50.07548 204.60309
#>
#> , , 6
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 191.98733 -27.12606 -164.86127
#> [2,] -27.12606 83.68403 -56.55797
#> [3,] -164.86127 -56.55797 221.41924
#>
#> , , 7
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 207.57641 -32.96583 -174.6106
#> [2,] -32.96583 99.53583 -66.5700
#> [3,] -174.61058 -66.57000 241.1806
#>
#> , , 8
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 222.68904 -39.87771 -182.8113
#> [2,] -39.87771 119.05421 -79.1765
#> [3,] -182.81134 -79.17650 261.9878
#>
#> , , 9
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 235.39879 -46.00183 -189.39696
#> [2,] -46.00183 138.16834 -92.16651
#> [3,] -189.39696 -92.16651 281.56347
#>
#> , , 10
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 244.38037 -49.16756 -195.2128
#> [2,] -49.16756 151.58487 -102.4173
#> [3,] -195.21281 -102.41730 297.6301
#>
#> , , 11
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 249.26693 -48.20466 -201.0623
#> [2,] -48.20466 155.32537 -107.1207
#> [3,] -201.06227 -107.12071 308.1830
#>
#> , , 12
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 250.66840 -43.77158 -206.8968
#> [2,] -43.77158 149.09243 -105.3208
#> [3,] -206.89682 -105.32085 312.2177
#>
#> , , 13
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 250.39760 -37.94347 -212.45413
#> [2,] -37.94347 136.78442 -98.84096
#> [3,] -212.45413 -98.84096 311.29509
#>
#> , , 14
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 251.49642 -32.92917 -218.56725
#> [2,] -32.92917 124.38618 -91.45701
#> [3,] -218.56725 -91.45701 310.02426
#>
#> , , 15
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 257.28776 -30.09986 -227.18791
#> [2,] -30.09986 116.90225 -86.80239
#> [3,] -227.18791 -86.80239 313.99030
#>
#> , , 16
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 270.05759 -30.00634 -240.05125
#> [2,] -30.00634 117.14780 -87.14146
#> [3,] -240.05125 -87.14146 327.19272
#>
#> , , 17
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 290.32090 -32.86791 -257.4530
#> [2,] -32.86791 126.47582 -93.6079
#> [3,] -257.45298 -93.60790 351.0609
#>
#> , , 18
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 316.69079 -38.80601 -277.8848
#> [2,] -38.80601 145.52028 -106.7143
#> [3,] -277.88477 -106.71427 384.5990
#>
#> , , 19
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 346.02285 -47.54564 -298.4772
#> [2,] -47.54564 173.69904 -126.1534
#> [3,] -298.47721 -126.15340 424.6306
#>
#> , , 20
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 373.83374 -57.71704 -316.1167
#> [2,] -57.71704 207.54918 -149.8321
#> [3,] -316.11670 -149.83214 465.9488
#>
#> , , 21
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 395.31303 -66.48971 -328.8233
#> [2,] -66.48971 239.58794 -173.0982
#> [3,] -328.82332 -173.09823 501.9216
#>
#> , , 22
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 406.9218 -70.5822 -336.3396
#> [2,] -70.5822 260.2698 -189.6876
#> [3,] -336.3396 -189.6876 526.0272
#>
#> , , 23
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 407.73603 -68.39494 -339.3411
#> [2,] -68.39494 263.07551 -194.6806
#> [3,] -339.34108 -194.68057 534.0217
#>
#> , , 24
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3]
#> [1,] 399.9876 -61.2813 -338.7063
#> [2,] -61.2813 248.9337 -187.6524
#> [3,] -338.7063 -187.6524 526.3587
#>
#>
#> $outcomes$chickenPox$icl.pred
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5] [,6] [,7] [,8] [,9] [,10] [,11] [,12] [,13] [,14]
#> [1,] 27 26 25 25 24 24 24 23 21 19 17 16 15 13
#> [2,] 7 5 4 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 4 3 2
#> [3,] 70 74 76 77 75 72 69 65 63 62 64 67 71 75
#> [,15] [,16] [,17] [,18] [,19] [,20] [,21] [,22] [,23] [,24]
#> [1,] 13 12 12 12 11 10 9 8 7 6
#> [2,] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
#> [3,] 76 76 74 71 66 62 60 59 60 63
#>
#> $outcomes$chickenPox$icu.pred
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5] [,6] [,7] [,8] [,9] [,10] [,11] [,12] [,13] [,14]
#> [1,] 75 74 74 75 76 78 80 80 81 80 79 77 76 75
#> [2,] 42 38 36 35 36 38 42 46 50 53 53 50 47 44
#> [3,] 122 126 129 131 131 130 129 128 128 129 132 136 140 143
#> [,15] [,16] [,17] [,18] [,19] [,20] [,21] [,22] [,23] [,24]
#> [1,] 75 75 77 80 82 84 85 85 84 82
#> [2,] 42 41 43 46 50 55 59 62 62 60
#> [3,] 145 146 147 146 146 145 146 147 149 151
#>
#>
#> $outcomes$show
#> [1] FALSE
#>
#>
#> $theta.mean
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5] [,6]
#> [1,] -1.00169702 -1.02944570 -1.05719437 -1.08494305 -1.11269173 -1.14044040
#> [2,] -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868
#> [3,] -0.05935463 -0.10174180 -0.11686733 -0.10067836 -0.05751270 0.00106344
#> [4,] -0.10067836 -0.05751270 0.00106344 0.05935463 0.10174180 0.11686733
#> [5,] 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
#> [6,] 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486
#> [7,] -2.03920255 -2.06798887 -2.09677519 -2.12556151 -2.15434783 -2.18313415
#> [8,] -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632
#> [9,] 0.03183478 -0.14917990 -0.29022195 -0.35349926 -0.32205673 -0.20431936
#> [10,] -0.35349926 -0.32205673 -0.20431936 -0.03183478 0.14917990 0.29022195
#> [11,] 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
#> [12,] 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590
#> [,7] [,8] [,9] [,10] [,11] [,12]
#> [1,] -1.16818908 -1.19593775 -1.22368643 -1.25143510 -1.27918378 -1.30693245
#> [2,] -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868
#> [3,] 0.05935463 0.10174180 0.11686733 0.10067836 0.05751270 -0.00106344
#> [4,] 0.10067836 0.05751270 -0.00106344 -0.05935463 -0.10174180 -0.11686733
#> [5,] 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
#> [6,] 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486
#> [7,] -2.21192047 -2.24070679 -2.26949311 -2.29827943 -2.32706575 -2.35585207
#> [8,] -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632
#> [9,] -0.03183478 0.14917990 0.29022195 0.35349926 0.32205673 0.20431936
#> [10,] 0.35349926 0.32205673 0.20431936 0.03183478 -0.14917990 -0.29022195
#> [11,] 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
#> [12,] 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590
#> [,13] [,14] [,15] [,16] [,17] [,18]
#> [1,] -1.33468113 -1.36242981 -1.39017848 -1.41792716 -1.44567583 -1.47342451
#> [2,] -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868
#> [3,] -0.05935463 -0.10174180 -0.11686733 -0.10067836 -0.05751270 0.00106344
#> [4,] -0.10067836 -0.05751270 0.00106344 0.05935463 0.10174180 0.11686733
#> [5,] 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
#> [6,] 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486
#> [7,] -2.38463839 -2.41342471 -2.44221102 -2.47099734 -2.49978366 -2.52856998
#> [8,] -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632
#> [9,] 0.03183478 -0.14917990 -0.29022195 -0.35349926 -0.32205673 -0.20431936
#> [10,] -0.35349926 -0.32205673 -0.20431936 -0.03183478 0.14917990 0.29022195
#> [11,] 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
#> [12,] 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590
#> [,19] [,20] [,21] [,22] [,23] [,24]
#> [1,] -1.50117318 -1.52892186 -1.55667053 -1.58441921 -1.61216789 -1.63991656
#> [2,] -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868 -0.02774868
#> [3,] 0.05935463 0.10174180 0.11686733 0.10067836 0.05751270 -0.00106344
#> [4,] 0.10067836 0.05751270 -0.00106344 -0.05935463 -0.10174180 -0.11686733
#> [5,] 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
#> [6,] 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486 0.37914486
#> [7,] -2.55735630 -2.58614262 -2.61492894 -2.64371526 -2.67250158 -2.70128790
#> [8,] -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632 -0.02878632
#> [9,] -0.03183478 0.14917990 0.29022195 0.35349926 0.32205673 0.20431936
#> [10,] 0.35349926 0.32205673 0.20431936 0.03183478 -0.14917990 -0.29022195
#> [11,] 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
#> [12,] 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590 0.46018590
#>
#> $theta.cov
#> , , 1
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 9.872440e-02 2.030001e-03 2.664470e-04 2.782113e-03 0.00000000
#> [2,] 2.030001e-03 4.887590e-04 -4.027821e-05 1.799244e-04 0.00000000
#> [3,] 2.664470e-04 -4.027821e-05 7.211060e-03 1.560346e-04 0.00000000
#> [4,] 2.782113e-03 1.799244e-04 1.560346e-04 7.336572e-03 0.00000000
#> [5,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.08356629
#> [6,] -6.226665e-02 -4.927366e-09 -7.251207e-04 6.870868e-04 0.00000000
#> [7,] 5.546934e-03 9.903291e-05 1.724105e-04 -1.141960e-05 0.00000000
#> [8,] 9.874520e-05 5.360397e-06 3.997851e-06 2.579428e-06 0.00000000
#> [9,] 1.737814e-04 3.965807e-06 4.029683e-04 2.452050e-06 0.00000000
#> [10,] -3.471055e-06 2.786504e-06 2.279165e-06 3.970212e-04 0.00000000
#> [11,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.00000000
#> [12,] -3.336156e-03 1.057412e-06 -1.024899e-04 1.055686e-04 0.00000000
#> [,6] [,7] [,8] [,9] [,10]
#> [1,] -6.226665e-02 5.546934e-03 9.874520e-05 1.737814e-04 -3.471055e-06
#> [2,] -4.927366e-09 9.903291e-05 5.360397e-06 3.965807e-06 2.786504e-06
#> [3,] -7.251207e-04 1.724105e-04 3.997851e-06 4.029683e-04 2.279165e-06
#> [4,] 6.870868e-04 -1.141960e-05 2.579428e-06 2.452050e-06 3.970212e-04
#> [5,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00
#> [6,] 6.252295e-02 -3.335446e-03 1.037567e-06 -1.052795e-04 1.074222e-04
#> [7,] -3.335446e-03 1.123101e-01 2.378678e-03 2.857220e-04 3.505718e-03
#> [8,] 1.037567e-06 2.378678e-03 5.651565e-04 -4.818086e-05 2.093564e-04
#> [9,] -1.052795e-04 2.857220e-04 -4.818086e-05 8.644493e-03 1.464377e-04
#> [10,] 1.074222e-04 3.505718e-03 2.093564e-04 1.464377e-04 8.881564e-03
#> [11,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00
#> [12,] 3.363887e-03 -6.930073e-02 3.556783e-07 -8.642072e-04 8.397154e-04
#> [,11] [,12]
#> [1,] 0.00000000 -3.336156e-03
#> [2,] 0.00000000 1.057412e-06
#> [3,] 0.00000000 -1.024899e-04
#> [4,] 0.00000000 1.055686e-04
#> [5,] 0.00000000 0.000000e+00
#> [6,] 0.00000000 3.363887e-03
#> [7,] 0.00000000 -6.930073e-02
#> [8,] 0.00000000 3.556783e-07
#> [9,] 0.00000000 -8.642072e-04
#> [10,] 0.00000000 8.397154e-04
#> [11,] 0.08084326 0.000000e+00
#> [12,] 0.00000000 6.963794e-02
#>
#> , , 2
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 1.082152e-01 2.518760e-03 1.676887e-03 2.452115e-03 0.00000000
#> [2,] 2.518760e-03 5.132187e-04 5.508022e-05 1.759582e-04 0.00000000
#> [3,] 1.676887e-03 5.508022e-05 7.557962e-03 1.323654e-04 0.00000000
#> [4,] 2.452115e-03 1.759582e-04 1.323654e-04 7.353639e-03 0.00000000
#> [5,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.08356629
#> [6,] -6.226665e-02 -4.927366e-09 -2.844295e-04 9.575950e-04 0.00000000
#> [7,] 5.750072e-03 1.043933e-04 1.483541e-04 -9.586001e-05 0.00000000
#> [8,] 1.041056e-04 5.360397e-06 4.751955e-06 2.349248e-07 0.00000000
#> [9,] 1.535914e-04 4.827742e-06 4.035302e-04 -1.305902e-06 0.00000000
#> [10,] -8.946646e-05 4.302803e-07 -1.478788e-06 3.964593e-04 0.00000000
#> [11,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.00000000
#> [12,] -3.335098e-03 1.057412e-06 -3.597456e-05 1.426701e-04 0.00000000
#> [,6] [,7] [,8] [,9] [,10]
#> [1,] -6.226665e-02 5.750072e-03 1.041056e-04 1.535914e-04 -8.946646e-05
#> [2,] -4.927366e-09 1.043933e-04 5.360397e-06 4.827742e-06 4.302803e-07
#> [3,] -2.844295e-04 1.483541e-04 4.751955e-06 4.035302e-04 -1.478788e-06
#> [4,] 9.575950e-04 -9.586001e-05 2.349248e-07 -1.305902e-06 3.964593e-04
#> [5,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00
#> [6,] 6.252295e-02 -3.334409e-03 1.037567e-06 -3.746360e-05 1.456701e-04
#> [7,] -3.334409e-03 1.232574e-01 2.943835e-03 2.063254e-03 3.098578e-03
#> [8,] 1.037567e-06 2.943835e-03 5.934287e-04 6.295236e-05 2.053984e-04
#> [9,] -3.746360e-05 2.063254e-03 6.295236e-05 9.047975e-03 1.758737e-04
#> [10,] 1.456701e-04 3.098578e-03 2.053984e-04 1.758737e-04 8.916400e-03
#> [11,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00
#> [12,] 3.363887e-03 -6.930037e-02 3.556783e-07 -3.285676e-04 1.159319e-03
#> [,11] [,12]
#> [1,] 0.00000000 -3.335098e-03
#> [2,] 0.00000000 1.057412e-06
#> [3,] 0.00000000 -3.597456e-05
#> [4,] 0.00000000 1.426701e-04
#> [5,] 0.00000000 0.000000e+00
#> [6,] 0.00000000 3.363887e-03
#> [7,] 0.00000000 -6.930037e-02
#> [8,] 0.00000000 3.556783e-07
#> [9,] 0.00000000 -3.285676e-04
#> [10,] 0.00000000 1.159319e-03
#> [11,] 0.08084326 0.000000e+00
#> [12,] 0.00000000 6.963794e-02
#>
#> , , 3
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 1.187079e-01 3.031979e-03 2.813964e-03 1.409995e-03 0.00000000
#> [2,] 3.031979e-03 5.376785e-04 1.356800e-04 1.248441e-04 0.00000000
#> [3,] 2.813964e-03 1.356800e-04 7.801907e-03 -2.229182e-05 0.00000000
#> [4,] 1.409995e-03 1.248441e-04 -2.229182e-05 7.473662e-03 0.00000000
#> [5,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.08356629
#> [6,] -6.226666e-02 -4.927366e-09 2.324743e-04 9.715164e-04 0.00000000
#> [7,] 5.963931e-03 1.097537e-04 8.478115e-05 -1.593668e-04 0.00000000
#> [8,] 1.094660e-04 5.360397e-06 4.232776e-06 -2.172527e-06 0.00000000
#> [9,] 9.267687e-05 4.396087e-06 4.005567e-04 -3.671510e-06 0.00000000
#> [10,] -1.563171e-04 -2.041237e-06 -3.844396e-06 3.994329e-04 0.00000000
#> [11,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.00000000
#> [12,] -3.334041e-03 1.057412e-06 4.018016e-05 1.415432e-04 0.00000000
#> [,6] [,7] [,8] [,9] [,10]
#> [1,] -6.226666e-02 5.963931e-03 1.094660e-04 9.267687e-05 -1.563171e-04
#> [2,] -4.927366e-09 1.097537e-04 5.360397e-06 4.396087e-06 -2.041237e-06
#> [3,] 2.324743e-04 8.478115e-05 4.232776e-06 4.005567e-04 -3.844396e-06
#> [4,] 9.715164e-04 -1.593668e-04 -2.172527e-06 -3.671510e-06 3.994329e-04
#> [5,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00
#> [6,] 6.252295e-02 -3.333371e-03 1.037567e-06 4.039061e-05 1.448858e-04
#> [7,] -3.333371e-03 1.353632e-01 3.537263e-03 3.493337e-03 1.798224e-03
#> [8,] 1.037567e-06 3.537263e-03 6.217009e-04 1.572175e-04 1.464041e-04
#> [9,] 4.039061e-05 3.493337e-03 1.572175e-04 9.384788e-03 3.096312e-05
#> [10,] 1.448858e-04 1.798224e-03 1.464041e-04 3.096312e-05 9.017905e-03
#> [11,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00
#> [12,] 3.363887e-03 -6.930001e-02 3.556783e-07 2.951113e-04 1.168283e-03
#> [,11] [,12]
#> [1,] 0.00000000 -3.334041e-03
#> [2,] 0.00000000 1.057412e-06
#> [3,] 0.00000000 4.018016e-05
#> [4,] 0.00000000 1.415432e-04
#> [5,] 0.00000000 0.000000e+00
#> [6,] 0.00000000 3.363887e-03
#> [7,] 0.00000000 -6.930001e-02
#> [8,] 0.00000000 3.556783e-07
#> [9,] 0.00000000 2.951113e-04
#> [10,] 0.00000000 1.168283e-03
#> [11,] 0.08084326 0.000000e+00
#> [12,] 0.00000000 6.963794e-02
#>
#> , , 4
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 1.302516e-01 3.569658e-03 3.321886e-03 -1.456124e-04 0.00000000
#> [2,] 3.569658e-03 5.621383e-04 1.799244e-04 4.027821e-05 0.00000000
#> [3,] 3.321886e-03 1.799244e-04 7.880934e-03 -1.532799e-04 0.00000000
#> [4,] -1.456124e-04 4.027821e-05 -1.532799e-04 7.758603e-03 0.00000000
#> [5,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.08356629
#> [6,] -6.226666e-02 -4.927366e-09 6.870868e-04 7.251207e-04 0.00000000
#> [7,] 6.188511e-03 1.151141e-04 -3.681319e-06 -1.844041e-04 0.00000000
#> [8,] 1.148264e-04 5.360397e-06 2.579428e-06 -3.997851e-06 0.00000000
#> [9,] 4.888459e-06 2.786504e-06 3.970212e-04 -2.279165e-06 0.00000000
#> [10,] -1.856789e-04 -3.965807e-06 -2.452050e-06 4.029683e-04 0.00000000
#> [11,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.00000000
#> [12,] -3.332983e-03 1.057412e-06 1.055686e-04 1.024899e-04 0.00000000
#> [,6] [,7] [,8] [,9] [,10]
#> [1,] -6.226666e-02 6.188511e-03 1.148264e-04 4.888459e-06 -1.856789e-04
#> [2,] -4.927366e-09 1.151141e-04 5.360397e-06 2.786504e-06 -3.965807e-06
#> [3,] 6.870868e-04 -3.681319e-06 2.579428e-06 3.970212e-04 -2.452050e-06
#> [4,] 7.251207e-04 -1.844041e-04 -3.997851e-06 -2.279165e-06 4.029683e-04
#> [5,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00
#> [6,] 6.252295e-02 -3.332334e-03 1.037567e-06 1.074222e-04 1.052795e-04
#> [7,] -3.332334e-03 1.486842e-01 4.158964e-03 4.133787e-03 -1.411795e-04
#> [8,] 1.037567e-06 4.158964e-03 6.499731e-04 2.093564e-04 4.818086e-05
#> [9,] 1.074222e-04 4.133787e-03 2.093564e-04 9.537277e-03 -1.433836e-04
#> [10,] 1.052795e-04 -1.411795e-04 4.818086e-05 -1.433836e-04 9.303733e-03
#> [11,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00
#> [12,] 3.363887e-03 -6.929966e-02 3.556783e-07 8.397154e-04 8.642072e-04
#> [,11] [,12]
#> [1,] 0.00000000 -3.332983e-03
#> [2,] 0.00000000 1.057412e-06
#> [3,] 0.00000000 1.055686e-04
#> [4,] 0.00000000 1.024899e-04
#> [5,] 0.00000000 0.000000e+00
#> [6,] 0.00000000 3.363887e-03
#> [7,] 0.00000000 -6.929966e-02
#> [8,] 0.00000000 3.556783e-07
#> [9,] 0.00000000 8.397154e-04
#> [10,] 0.00000000 8.642072e-04
#> [11,] 0.08084326 0.000000e+00
#> [12,] 0.00000000 6.963794e-02
#>
#> , , 5
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 1.428951e-01 4.131796e-03 2.979990e-03 -1.842127e-03 0.00000000
#> [2,] 4.131796e-03 5.865981e-04 1.759582e-04 -5.508022e-05 0.00000000
#> [3,] 2.979990e-03 1.759582e-04 7.898001e-03 -1.296108e-04 0.00000000
#> [4,] -1.842127e-03 -5.508022e-05 -1.296108e-04 8.105505e-03 0.00000000
#> [5,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.08356629
#> [6,] -6.226667e-02 -4.927366e-09 9.575950e-04 2.844295e-04 0.00000000
#> [7,] 6.423812e-03 1.204745e-04 -9.515524e-05 -1.626099e-04 0.00000000
#> [8,] 1.201868e-04 5.360397e-06 2.349248e-07 -4.751955e-06 0.00000000
#> [9,] -8.817562e-05 4.302803e-07 3.964593e-04 1.478788e-06 0.00000000
#> [10,] -1.680746e-04 -4.827742e-06 1.305902e-06 4.035302e-04 0.00000000
#> [11,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.00000000
#> [12,] -3.331926e-03 1.057412e-06 1.426701e-04 3.597456e-05 0.00000000
#> [,6] [,7] [,8] [,9] [,10]
#> [1,] -6.226667e-02 6.423812e-03 1.201868e-04 -8.817562e-05 -1.680746e-04
#> [2,] -4.927366e-09 1.204745e-04 5.360397e-06 4.302803e-07 -4.827742e-06
#> [3,] 9.575950e-04 -9.515524e-05 2.349248e-07 3.964593e-04 1.305902e-06
#> [4,] 2.844295e-04 -1.626099e-04 -4.751955e-06 1.478788e-06 4.035302e-04
#> [5,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00
#> [6,] 6.252295e-02 -3.331296e-03 1.037567e-06 1.456701e-04 3.746360e-05
#> [7,] -3.331296e-03 1.632769e-01 4.808937e-03 3.714773e-03 -2.252111e-03
#> [8,] 1.037567e-06 4.808937e-03 6.782454e-04 2.053984e-04 -6.295236e-05
#> [9,] 1.456701e-04 3.714773e-03 2.053984e-04 9.572113e-03 -1.728196e-04
#> [10,] 3.746360e-05 -2.252111e-03 -6.295236e-05 -1.728196e-04 9.707215e-03
#> [11,] 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00
#> [12,] 3.363887e-03 -6.929930e-02 3.556783e-07 1.159319e-03 3.285676e-04
#> [,11] [,12]
#> [1,] 0.00000000 -3.331926e-03
#> [2,] 0.00000000 1.057412e-06
#> [3,] 0.00000000 1.426701e-04
#> [4,] 0.00000000 3.597456e-05
#> [5,] 0.00000000 0.000000e+00
#> [6,] 0.00000000 3.363887e-03
#> [7,] 0.00000000 -6.929930e-02
#> [8,] 0.00000000 3.556783e-07
#> [9,] 0.00000000 1.159319e-03
#> [10,] 0.00000000 3.285676e-04
#> [11,] 0.08084326 0.000000e+00
#> [12,] 0.00000000 6.963794e-02
#>
#> , , 6
#>
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 0.1566873035 4.718394e-03 1.784527e-03 -3.221004e-03 0.00000000
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#> [2,] 0.0194597849 1.051334e-03 -1.248441e-04 1.356800e-04 0.00000000
#> [3,] -0.0040317218 -1.248441e-04 1.129374e-02 2.504646e-05 0.00000000
#> [4,] 0.0056632433 1.356800e-04 2.504646e-05 1.162517e-02 0.00000000
#> [5,] 0.0000000000 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.08356629
#> [6,] -0.0622667616 -4.927366e-09 -9.715164e-04 2.324743e-04 0.00000000
#> [7,] 0.0129314801 2.223220e-04 2.049898e-04 1.736694e-04 0.00000000
#> [8,] 0.0002220343 5.360397e-06 2.172527e-06 4.232776e-06 0.00000000
#> [9,] 0.0001991831 2.041237e-06 3.994329e-04 3.844396e-06 0.00000000
#> [10,] 0.0001849947 4.396087e-06 3.671510e-06 4.005567e-04 0.00000000
#> [11,] 0.0000000000 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.00000000
#> [12,] -0.0033118350 1.057412e-06 -1.415432e-04 4.018016e-05 0.00000000
#> [,6] [,7] [,8] [,9] [,10]
#> [1,] -6.226676e-02 0.0129314801 2.220343e-04 1.991831e-04 1.849947e-04
#> [2,] -4.927366e-09 0.0002223220 5.360397e-06 2.041237e-06 4.396087e-06
#> [3,] -9.715164e-04 0.0002049898 2.172527e-06 3.994329e-04 3.671510e-06
#> [4,] 2.324743e-04 0.0001736694 4.232776e-06 3.844396e-06 4.005567e-04
#> [5,] 0.000000e+00 0.0000000000 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00
#> [6,] 6.252295e-02 -0.0033115824 1.037567e-06 -1.448858e-04 4.039061e-05
#> [7,] -3.311582e-03 0.7573599526 2.253015e-02 -4.872709e-03 6.794905e-03
#> [8,] 1.037567e-06 0.0225301487 1.215418e-03 -1.464041e-04 1.572175e-04
#> [9,] -1.448858e-04 -0.0048727094 -1.464041e-04 1.361847e-02 -2.790901e-05
#> [10,] 4.039061e-05 0.0067949050 1.572175e-04 -2.790901e-05 1.398888e-02
#> [11,] 0.000000e+00 0.0000000000 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00
#> [12,] 3.363887e-03 -0.0692925454 3.556783e-07 -1.168283e-03 2.951113e-04
#> [,11] [,12]
#> [1,] 0.00000000 -3.311835e-03
#> [2,] 0.00000000 1.057412e-06
#> [3,] 0.00000000 -1.415432e-04
#> [4,] 0.00000000 4.018016e-05
#> [5,] 0.00000000 0.000000e+00
#> [6,] 0.00000000 3.363887e-03
#> [7,] 0.00000000 -6.929255e-02
#> [8,] 0.00000000 3.556783e-07
#> [9,] 0.00000000 -1.168283e-03
#> [10,] 0.00000000 2.951113e-04
#> [11,] 0.08084326 0.000000e+00
#> [12,] 0.00000000 6.963794e-02
#>
#>
#> $lambda.mean
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5] [,6]
#> [1,] -0.6819068 -0.7520426 -0.7949168 -0.8064766 -0.7910596 -0.7602321
#> [2,] -1.5471819 -1.7569829 -1.9268112 -2.0188749 -2.0162187 -1.9272676
#> [,7] [,8] [,9] [,10] [,11] [,12] [,13]
#> [1,] -0.7296896 -0.7150511 -0.7276742 -0.7716119 -0.8425262 -0.928851 -1.014891
#> [2,] -1.7835693 -1.6313410 -1.5190853 -1.4845943 -1.5448231 -1.691347 -1.892618
#> [,14] [,15] [,16] [,17] [,18] [,19] [,20]
#> [1,] -1.085027 -1.127901 -1.139461 -1.124044 -1.093216 -1.062674 -1.048035
#> [2,] -2.102419 -2.272247 -2.364311 -2.361654 -2.272703 -2.129005 -1.976777
#> [,21] [,22] [,23] [,24]
#> [1,] -1.060658 -1.104596 -1.175510 -1.261835
#> [2,] -1.864521 -1.830030 -1.890259 -2.036783
#>
#> $lambda.cov
#> , , 1
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.126574059 0.002780609
#> [2,] 0.002780609 0.131677338
#>
#> , , 2
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.140113999 0.003076489
#> [2,] 0.003076489 0.147655162
#>
#> , , 3
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.154158661 0.003318991
#> [2,] 0.003318991 0.164206083
#>
#> , , 4
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.1677064 0.0034983
#> [2,] 0.0034983 0.1800504
#>
#> , , 5
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.180224168 0.003625945
#> [2,] 0.003625945 0.194479798
#>
#> , , 6
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.19177331 0.00373013
#> [2,] 0.00373013 0.20756617
#>
#> , , 7
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.202936715 0.003848195
#> [2,] 0.003848195 0.220082065
#>
#> , , 8
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.214673490 0.004018534
#> [2,] 0.004018534 0.233273283
#>
#> , , 9
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.228174208 0.004272023
#> [2,] 0.004272023 0.248616919
#>
#> , , 10
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.244673580 0.004622896
#> [2,] 0.004622896 0.267573558
#>
#> , , 11
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.265150698 0.005061447
#> [2,] 0.005061447 0.291265577
#>
#> , , 12
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.289959108 0.005553042
#> [2,] 0.005553042 0.320090109
#>
#> , , 13
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.318573350 0.006046547
#> [2,] 0.006046547 0.353433294
#>
#> , , 14
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.349654318 0.006490469
#> [2,] 0.006490469 0.389713270
#>
#> , , 15
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.381472833 0.006850211
#> [2,] 0.006850211 0.426840044
#>
#> , , 16
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.412508942 0.007119014
#> [2,] 0.007119014 0.462927711
#>
#> , , 17
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.4419450 0.0073189
#> [2,] 0.0073189 0.4969327
#>
#> , , 18
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.469868017 0.007493187
#> [2,] 0.007493187 0.528952268
#>
#> , , 19
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.497189435 0.007694902
#> [2,] 0.007694902 0.560138432
#>
#> , , 20
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.525412243 0.007974499
#> [2,] 0.007974499 0.592368608
#>
#> , , 21
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.556340237 0.008368047
#> [2,] 0.008368047 0.627834567
#>
#> , , 22
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.591726449 0.008886725
#> [2,] 0.008886725 0.668603095
#>
#> , , 23
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.632834496 0.009510335
#> [2,] 0.009510335 0.716131861
#>
#> , , 24
#>
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.67999242 0.01018913
#> [2,] 0.01018913 0.77079255
#>
#>
#> $plot
#>